+91731-6690000

Sunday, 16 December 2018




BULLION:-

Gold fell to its lowest in over a week on Friday and was on track to mark its biggest weekly decline in more than a month, as the dollar climbed on robust U.S. economic data ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting next week. The dollar rose to a 19-month high after data showed U.S. consumer spending appeared to gather momentum while industrial production rebounded in November. USD/ strength of the dollar have weighed across the complex. Markets are awaiting the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Dec. 18-19, at which the U.S. central bank is widely expected to raise interest rates. The focus, however, would be on the outlook for 2019. "With the Fed rate hike next week, any gold price rise will be hampered by expected dollar strength," said Ronan Manly, a precious metals analyst at Singapore-based dealer Bullion Star. Gold prices rose to a five-month peak of $1,250.55 an ounce on Monday, but have given up all the gains as the dollar strengthened against a basket of major currencies.

METALS:-

A higher US dollar and weaker LME copper dragged the SHFE 1902 contract below the 49,000 yuan/mt level, after it opened at an intraday high of 49,230 yuan/mt. It closed at 48,890 yuan/mt, with open interests up 6,652 lots to 186,000 lots. Some 6.85 million yuan of capitals entered SHFE copper contracts, the smallest across base metals today. With pressure from the Bollinger middle band, the contract is likely to test support at 49,000 yuan/mt tonight.London nickel initially fell to a low of $10,725/mt, just above the year-low of $10,720/mt on November 27. It then clawed back those losses to close 0.6% higher at $10,850/mt. The SHFE 1905 contract fluctuated to close 0.4% higher at 89,380 yuan/mt overnight. Market focus is largely attuned to the fundamentals as investors await an upcoming two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which is scheduled to take place on December 18-19. The recent improvement in spot trades limited losses in nickel prices. LME nickel is expected to hover around $10,800/mt today with the SHFE 1905 contract at 88,500-90,000 yuan/mt. Spot prices are seen at 89,000-96,500 yuan/mt.

ENERGY:-

Oil prices fell on Friday as investors cashed in gains of more than 2 percent made during the previous session on concerns demand may slump amid slowing economic growth, though there are still expectations for producer supply cuts to support prices. China, the world's second-largest economy and the largest crude importer, on Friday reported some of the slowest retail sales and industrial output growth in years for November, highlighting the risks of the country's trade dispute with the United States. Refinery throughput in November in China fell from October, which was the second-highest month on record, suggesting an easing in Chinese oil demand, though runs were 2.9 percent higher than a year earlier. Some support for prices remains because of the output cuts agreed between the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC producers including Russia. That could create a supply deficit by the second quarter of next year, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday. International benchmark Brent crude rose 2.2 percent on Thursday, while WTI climbed 2.8 percent.


CapitalStars Provides  Free Trial To Our Client…
Investment & trading in the securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA0000016

Thursday, 13 December 2018



BULLION:-

Gold prices steadied on Friday, after slipping to a week-low in the previous session, supported by the uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's next year's policy outlook, while the dollar strengthened on expectations of a rate hike next week. The dollar firmed against major counterparts as investor focus shifted to an expected U.S. interest rate hike next week, although gains are likely to be capped on greater uncertainty about next year's policy outlook. Asian shares were on the defensive as investors kept a wary eye on economic tensions between Washington and Beijing, while the euro was steady after the European Central Bank halted new bond purchases as expected. The number of Americans filing applications for jobless benefits tumbled to near a 49-year low last week, which could ease concerns about a slowdown in the labour market and economy. The risk of a U.S. recession in the next two years has risen to 40 per cent, according to a Reuterâ poll of economists who also found a significant shift in expectations toward fewer Federal Reserve interest rate rises next year. European Union leaders assured Prime Minister Theresa May on Thursday that the Brexit treaty she agreed last month but is struggling to get through UK parliament should not bind Britain forever to EU rules.


METALS:-

London copper pared earlier gains to close at $6,153/mt on Thursday. The SHFE 1902 contract came off from a high of 49,440 yuan/mt overnight, ending at 49,260 yuan/mt. As the US dollar strengthened, copper prices are expected to remain range bound at lows today. LME copper is likely to trade at $6,150-6,200/mt with the SHFE 1902 contract at 49,000-49,500 yuan/mt. Spot premiums are seen lower at 20-70 yuan/mt.London nickel initially fell to a low of $10,725/mt, just above the year-low of $10,720/mt on November 27. It then clawed back those losses to close 0.6% higher at $10,850/mt. The SHFE 1905 contract fluctuated to close 0.4% higher at 89,380 yuan/mt overnight. Market focus is largely attuned to the fundamentals as investors await an upcoming two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which is scheduled to take place on December 18-19. The recent improvement in spot trades limited losses in nickel prices. LME nickel is expected to hover around $10,800/mt today with the SHFE 1905 contract at 88,500-90,000 yuan/mt. Spot prices are seen at 89,000-96,500 yuan/mt.

ENERGY:-

Oil prices fell on Friday as investors cashed in gains of more than 2 percent made during the previous session on concerns demand may slump amid slowing economic growth, though there are still expectations for producer supply cuts to support prices. China, the world's second-largest economy and the largest crude importer, on Friday reported some of the slowest retail sales and industrial output growth in years for November, highlighting the risks of the country's trade dispute with the United States. Refinery throughput in November in China fell from October, which was the second-highest month on record, suggesting an easing in Chinese oil demand, though runs were 2.9 percent higher than a year earlier. Some support for prices remains because of the output cuts agreed between the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC producers including Russia. That could create a supply deficit by the second quarter of next year, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday. International benchmark Brent crude rose 2.2 percent on Thursday, while WTI climbed 2.8 percent.


CapitalStars Provides  Free Trial To Our Client…
Investment & trading in the securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647

Wednesday, 12 December 2018


BULLION:-

Gold prices dipped early on Thursday as the dollar steadied after declining from a near one-month high in the previous session, while palladium rose to a record high, trading at a premium to the bullion. Asian shares and the pound moved higher as investors breathed a sigh of relief after British Prime Minister Theresa May survived a no-confidence vote, and as China appeared to be taking more steps to meet U.S. demand to open its markets. China appears to be easing its high-tech industrial development push, dubbed "Made in China 2025," which has long irked the United States, amid talks between the two countries to reduce trade tensions, according to new guidance to local governments. British Prime Minister Theresa May survived a confidence vote by the Conservative Party on Wednesday, but a mutiny by more than a third of her lawmakers indicated parliament was heading towards deadlock over Brexit.

METALS:-

London copper regained some losses after it fell to the day’s lows of $6,132/mt on Wednesday, ending at $6,150/mt. After opening lower, the SHFE 1902 contract hovered at 49,030-49,130 yuan/mt overnight and closed at 49,120 yuan/mt. A lack of inflation in November, UK Prime Minister Theresa May’s survival of a no-confidence vote and new US-China trade hopes weighed on the US dollar index overnight and supported copper prices. LME copper is expected to trade at $6,130-6,180/mt today with the SHFE 1902 contract at 49,000-49,400 yuan/mt. Spot premiums are seen at 40-120 yuan/mt. With a higher open, LME nickel edged up to close at $10,785/mt on Wednesday. The SHFE 1905 contract jumped to a high of 89,450 yuan/mt overnight before it closed at 89,000 yuan/mt. LME nickel is expected to hover around $10,800/mt today with the SHFE 1905 contract at 88,500-90,000 yuan/mt. Spot prices are seen at 89,000-96,500 yuan/mt. Fundamentals remained weak even as recent trade in the domestic spot market improved.

ENERGY:-

Oil prices rose on Thursday, buoyed by a drawdown in U.S. crude inventories and signs that China is taking more concrete steps to put a trade war truce with Washington into action. Crude oil prices have also been supported by OPEC-led supply curbs announced last week, although gains were capped after the producer group lowered its 2019 demand forecast. "Crude oil prices rose, helped by the easing trade tension, as well as a fall in inventories," ANZ bank said on Thursday. The news that China is looking to redraft its 'Made in China' 2025 plan boosted hopes that trade talks are progressing better than expected. China made its first major U.S. soybean purchases in more than six months on Wednesday, while Beijing also appears to be easing its high-tech industrial push, dubbed "Made in China 2025," which has long irked Washington. Drop in U.S. crude stockpiles, though less than expected, has helped boost sentiment, analysts said.


CapitalStars Provides  Free Trial To Our Client…
Investment & trading in the securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647


Tuesday, 11 December 2018


BULLION:-

Gold prices were steady early on Wednesday, supported by expectations of fewer rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve next year, while palladium traded at a premium to gold. The dollar held near a one-month high against its peers on Wednesday, supported by a rebound in U.S. yields and weakness of the pound as its battering from uncertainty about Brexit continued. Asian stock markets edged ahead as U.S. President Donald trump sounded upbeat about a trade deal with China. China has agreed to cut tariffs on U.S.-built cars and auto parts to 15 percent from the current 40 percent, a Trump administration official said on Tuesday, setting the stage for new talks aimed at easing the bitter trade war between the world's two largest economies. U.S. producer prices unexpectedly rose in November as increases in the costs for services offset a sharp decline for energy products, but the overall momentum in wholesale inflation appears to be slowing. An attempt to oust British Prime Minister Theresa May gathered pace on Tuesday, a day after her decision to delay a vote in parliament on her Brexit deal for fear of a rout angered many in her Conservative Party. One of the International Monetary Fund's top officials warned on Tuesday that storm clouds were gathering over the global economy and that governments and central banks might not be well-equipped to cope.

METALS:-

Short-covering pushed LME copper to the day’s highs of $6,194.5/mt on tuesday. The contract relinquished some gains to close at $6,146/mt as the US dollar gained. The SHFE 1902 contract climbed to a high of 49,370 yuan/mt overnight after a higher open. It came off to close at 49,240 yuan/mt. We expect upward momentum in copper prices to wane today. LME copper is expected to trade at $6,120-6,170/mt with the SHFE 1902 contract at 49,000-49,400 yuan/mt. Spot premiums are seen at 80-220 yuan/mt. As the US dollar surged, LME nickel tumbled to close lower at $10,745/mt overnight, down from the day’s highs of $10,945/mt. The rebound in the dollar also weighed the SHFE 1905 contract overnight. The contract came off from a high of 89,940 yuan/mt to fall into the red, ending at 88,830 yuan/mt. LME nickel is expected to hover around $10,800/mt today with the SHFE 1905 contract at 88,500-90,000 yuan/mt. Spot prices are seen at 89,000-96,500 yuan/mt.

ENERGY:-

Oil prices climbed by more than 1 percent on Wednesday, lifted by expectations that an OPEC-led supply cut announced last week for 2019 would stabilise markets as well as hopes that long-running Sino-American trade tensions could ease. Disruptions to Libyan oil exports after local militia seized the country's biggest oil field, El Sharara, were also buoying prices, traders said. The higher prices came amid a broader increase in Asian stock markets after U.S. President Donald Trump told Reuters in an interview that trade talks with China were taking place to defuse the trade disputes between the world's two biggest economies. To oil markets was a decision by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and some non-OPEC producers including Russia last week to cut supply by 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd). Crude prices had lost a third of their value between early October and the announcement of the cuts.


CapitalStars Provides  Free Trial To Our Client…
Investment & trading in the securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647



Vienna In order to put an end to crude oil prices, the organization of oil producing countries has agreed to cut OPEC production. The meeting lasted for two days agreed to cut 12 lakh barrels per day (MBD) between OPEC countries. Although the cut is much higher than expected, that is why news of crude prices in the international market has increased by 5.4 percent. It is believed that it will have a huge effect on India and once again the order of the price of petrol and diesel may start.

OPEC will reduce 12 million barrels a day
OPEC and its partners agreed to cut production of 1.2 million barrels per day, out of which eight million barrels will be cut by OPEC alone. Although Iran has emerged as a winner in this controversial conversation. Iran said that it has been exempt from the deduction because it is already facing American sanctions.

Crude costlier by 5.4 percent
After this news, Brent crude prices in London climbed up to 5.4 percent. However, later the trade was limited and crude moved up 3 percent to $ 61.67 a barrel level.

OPEC's decision has increased the apprehensions that the deal could increase the resonance of US President Donald Trump, who did not want to cut crude production and keep prices low.

Russia's Strategy Worked
It is believed that the non-OPEC member was behind the deal as Russia's Strategy, which has many bilateral meetings with members. In this way, he managed to persuade Saudi Arabia and Iran, which was considered the hardlinest opposition. However, these days OPEC was facing considerable pressure to keep oil prices down.

Declining output
The deal at the end was a surprise to everyone. In the earlier conversation, OPEC and its allies had proposed a reduction of 10 million barrels per day in oil production, in which 6.50 lakh OPECs were to be reduced. According to the reports, the producers of oil will use the output of October as a baseline to cut production.


Investment & trading in securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647

Sunday, 9 December 2018


BULLION:-

Gold traded firm near a five-month peak hit early on Monday, supported by a disappointing U.S. jobs data that fuelled speculation that the Federal Reserve may stop raising interest rates sooner than expected. The dollar slipped against the yen and the euro, while stocks extended their slump as worries over U.S.-China trade tensions battered investor sentiment. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 155,000 jobs in November, while economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls increasing by 200,000 jobs. The U.S. central bank is flagging a turning point in monetary policy, as a Fed policymaker on Friday backed interest rate hikes in the "near term" but nodded to increasingly less certainty ahead. U.S.-China trade negotiations need to reach a successful end by March 1 or new tariffs will be imposed, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said on Sunday, clarifying there is a "hard deadline" after a week of seeming confusion among President Donald Trump and his advisers

METALS:-

London copper fluctuated to close slightly higher at $6,149/mt on Friday. Despite a positive start, the SHFE 1902 contract weakened on Friday night, with pressure from the daily moving average. It closed at 49,060 yuan/mt. Open interest for the SHFE copper complex remained below 500,000 lots, suggesting limited confidence among investors. LME copper is expected to trade at $6,120-6,170/mt today with the SHFE 1902 contract at 48,900-49,200 yuan/mt. Spot premiums are seen at 150-420 yuan/mt. Tight supplies are likely to keep buyers chasing high-quality materials. London nickel fluctuated to close higher at $10,955/mt on Friday. The SHFE 1905 contract fell to close at 89,350 yuan/mt on Friday night after climbing to a high of 90,140 yuan/mt. LME nickel is expected to hover around $10,900/mt today with the SHFE 1905 contract at 88,500-90,000 yuan/mt. Spot prices are seen at 88,500-98,000 yuan/mt.

ENERGY:-

ONGC has sold a cargo of Russian Sokol crude cargo at a similar premium from the previous month, trade sources said on Monday. The cargo, loading on Feb. 10 to 16, was sold to a European trading house at a premium of $4.80 a barrel above Dubai quotes, they said. The deal marked the first February Sokol cargo to trade this month. The premium surprised the sources as they were expecting Sokol premiums to fall in line with other light sour grades sold to Asia and to reflect weaker refining margins. International oil prices rose on Monday, extending gains from Friday when producer club OPEC and some non-affiliated producers agreed a supply cut of 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) from January. Prices surged on Friday after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and some non-OPEC producers including heavyweight Russia announced they would cut oil supply by 1.2 million bpd, with an 800,000 bpd reduction planned by OPEC-members and 400,000 bpd by countries not affiliated with the group.



Investment & trading in securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647

Thursday, 6 December 2018


BULLION:-

Gold prices rose slightly on Friday and were headed for their best week in 15, as the dollar weakened following a decline in U.S. Treasury yields, while investors awaited U.S. nonfarm payroll data for clues about the health of the world's top economy. Atlanta Federal Reserve bank president Raphael Bostic on Thursday said he felt the Fed should continue raising rates towards a "neutral" level, noting that despite recent market volatility and increasing uncertainty, he did not see "any indications of a material weakening in the macroeconomic data at the moment." The U.S. economy is "performing very well overall," Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said, capping a week of widespread market nervousness with a reminder that the U.S. economy continues to expand. Asian share markets tried to find their footing on Friday as speculation the Federal Reserve might be "one-and-done" with U.S. rate hikes helped salve some wounds after a punishing week.

METALS:-

London copper slid to a low of $6,080/mt on Thursday as shorts added their positions after the contract climbed to a high of $6,120.5/mt. LME copper later rebounded to end at $6,134.5/mt. After opening in the red, the SHFE 1902 contract fluctuated overnight and closed at 48,950 yuan/mt. As both LME and SHFE copper have fallen below all short-term moving averages, copper prices are expected to remain weak and trade range bound at lows today. LME copper is likely to trade at $6,080-6,120/mt today with the SHFE 1902 contract at 48,600-49,000 yuan/mt. Spot premiums are seen at 120-320 yuan/mt. London nickel slumped on Thursday and ended at $10,860/mt. After opening lower, the SHFE 1901 contract fell to 88,640 yuan/mt overnight as shorts added and longs cut their bets. It clawed back some losses in later trades and closed at 89,010 yuan/mt. With worries over an escalation in the US-China trade tensions on Huawei CFO arrest, We expect LME nickel to weaken when hovering around $10,900/mt today and the SHFE 1901 contract to trade at 88,500-90,000 yuan/mt. Spot prices are seen at 88,500-98,000 yuan/mt.

ENERGY:-

Oil prices fell on Friday, pulled down by OPEC's decision to delay a final decision on output cuts, awaiting support from non-OPEC heavyweight Russia. The declines came after crude slumped by almost 3 percent the previous day, with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) ending a meeting at its headquarters in Vienna, Austria, on Thursday without announcing a decision to cut crude supply, instead preparing to debate the matter on Friday.Has decided to meet Friday again...(as) Russia remains the sticking point," said Stephen Innes, head of trading for Asia/Pacific at futures brokerage Oanda in Singapore. "We are beginning to witness the outline of the next iteration of production cuts, with OPEC conforming to cut its own production by around 1 million barrels per day, with the cartel lobbying non-OPEC members to contribute more," Japanese bank MUFG said in a note. Oil producers have been hit by a 30-percent plunge in crude prices since October as supply surges just as the demand outlook weakens amid a global economic slowdown. Output from the world's biggest producers - OPEC, Russia and the United States - has increased by 3.3 million bpd since the end of 2017, to 56.38 million bpd, meeting almost 60 percent of global consumption.


CapitalStars Provides  Free Trial To Our Client…
Investment & trading in the securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647