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Showing posts with label Free Commodity Tips | Commodity Tips | Best Commodity Tips. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Free Commodity Tips | Commodity Tips | Best Commodity Tips. Show all posts

Tuesday, 23 July 2019


BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on mixed path. Gold prices edged higher on Wednesday, recovering from a one-week low touched in the previous session, on expectations of an interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve and escalating tensions in the Middle East. The European Central Bank is expected to signal easier monetary policy at its meeting this week, while the Turkish central bank is expected to make a 250 bp cut on July 25. A U.S. Navy ship took defensive action against a second Iranian drone in the Strait of Hormuz last week, but did not see the drone go into the water, the U.S. military said on Tuesday. U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and senior U.S. officials will travel to Shanghai on Monday for face-to-face trade meetings with Chinese officials, Bloomberg reported on Tuesday, citing unnamed sources. Futures Fed watch remain 100% priced for a rate cut of 25 basis points (bps) by the Fed next week, and have even priced in an 18% chance of a 50 bp cut.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on positive path as oil prices rose on Wednesday, extending gains after an industry group reported a much bigger than expected drop in U.S. inventories, while the U.S. Navy said it may have downed a second Iranian drone last week. U.S. crude stocks fell more than expected in the week to July 19, declining by 11 million barrels to 449 million, the trade group American Petroleum Institute said on Tuesday. Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub fell by 448,000 barrels, although gasoline stocks rose by 4.4 million barrels, compared with analysts expectations for a 730,000-barrel decline. Signs of rising tensions in the Middle East offset a weaker global growth outlook from the International Monetary Fund, which had kept prices largely flat for much of Tuesdays session. Irans capture of a British oil tanker last week sparked worries about supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, through which about a fifth of the worlds oil flows. The tensions come as the United States aims to cut off Irans oil exports and against the backdrop of supply cuts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries since the start of the year to prop up prices. U.S. natural gas futures eased on Tuesday on forecasts for slightly cooler weather and lower demand over the next two weeks than previously forecast.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade with upside path. Industrial metals on the London Metal Exchange advanced on Wednesday on reports of potential progress in trade negotiations between the United States and China. The trade war between the world's two biggest economies has weighed on global economic growth and dimmed demand outlook for industrial metals. A sign of progress in resolving the dispute often supports prices of base metals. China's central bank governor Yi Gang said the country's current interest rate level is appropriate, the financial magazine Caixin reported on Tuesday. Global aluminium production fell by 0.5% in the first half of this year, according to the International Aluminium Institute (IAI). Chinese output fell by 3.1% in June and by 0.4% over the first six months of the year, according to the IAI. Alcoa, which operates the Canadian smelter, expects the return to full capacity to be achieved in the second quarter of 2020.
 

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Tuesday, 16 July 2019



BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on sideways to weaker path as gold prices edged lower on Wednesday, but still held above the psychological $1,400 level, as the dollar gained after robust U.S. retail sales tempered fears of a sharp downturn in the world's largest economy. The Commerce Department said retail sales rose 0.4% last month as households stepped up purchases of motor vehicles and a variety of other goods. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales edging up 0.1% in June. However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday reiterated pledges to "act as appropriate" to keep the U.S. economy humming, in a speech that did not deviate from expectations that a rate cut is on the way. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump said on Tuesday the United States still has a long way to go to conclude a trade deal with China but could impose tariffs on an additional $325 billion worth of Chinese goods if it needed to do so.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on weaker path as oil steadied after falling more than 3% overnight, with U.S. crude trailing Brent after U.S. inventory data fell short of expectations, amid conflicting signals from the U.S. and Iran over the disputes that have roiled prices recently. Iran denied it was willing to negotiate over its ballistic missile program, contradicting a claim by U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, and appearing to undercut Trumps statement that Washington had made progress on its disputes with Tehran. Tensions between the United States and Iran over Tehrans nuclear program have lent support to oil futures; given the potential for a price spike should the situation deteriorate. Crude inventories fell by 1.4 million barrels in the week to July 12 to 460 million, industry group the American Petroleum Institute said on Tuesday. Still, more than half the daily crude production in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico remained offline on Tuesday in the wake of Hurricane Barry, the U.S. drilling regulator said, as most oil companies were re-staffing facilities to resume production. U.S. natural gas futures on Tuesday fell more than 4%, its biggest daily percentage decline since late January on forecasts for less hot weather through the end of July than previously forecast and a slow return of production from the Gulf of Mexico after Tropical Storm Barry.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade with mixed path. Peruvian President Martin Vizcarra rejected a demand from a regional governor on Tuesday to cancel a permit for Southern Copper Corps $1.4 billion Tia Maria copper mine project amid protests from local residents. London zinc prices fell on Wednesday, ending a five-session streak of gains, after data showed a global zinc market deficit narrowed in May. The global zinc market deficit narrowed to 27,200 tonnes in May from an upwardly revised deficit of 87,500 tonnes in April, data from the International Lead and Zinc Study Group (ILZSG) showed. Zinc inventories in LME-approved warehouses have risen around 60% since April when the stockpiles hit a record low, while stocks in warehouses tracked by ShFE have jumped 268% year-to-date. The global lead market recorded a 13,400-tonne surplus in May after a deficit of 30,800 tonnes in April, data from the ILZSG showed.
 



Investment  trading in securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647
For more details call on 9977499927 or visit our website www.capitalstars.com

Monday, 15 July 2019



BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on sideways to weaker path as gold prices were little changed in early Asian trade on Tuesday as investors awaited U.S. retail sales data due later in the day for further clues on policy easing from the Federal Reserve in the face of a global slowdown. The dollar index was relatively unchanged against a basket of major currencies as the prospect of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut later in the month kept the greenback on the defensive. A rate cut this month is seen as certain with interest rate futures traders pricing in a 72% chance of a 25 basis point cut and a 28% likelihood of a 50 basis point cut, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool. Longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields edged lower on Monday as investors focused on Tuesday's retail sales figures as the next indicator of the strength of the U.S. economy. India's gold imports rose 13.04% to $2.69 billion in June compared with a year earlier, the trade ministry said in a statement on Monday.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on weaker path as oil prices fell for a second day on Tuesday as more production facilities returned to operation in the U.S. Gulf after Hurricane Barry swept through over the weekend, while Chinese economic data dimmed the outlook for crude demand. U.S. crude fell by 10 cents, or 0.2% to $59.48 a barrel. The U.S. benchmark fell about 1% in the previous session. Both contracts last week made their biggest weekly gains in three weeks as U.S. oil inventories fell and diplomatic tensions rose in the Middle East. In the U.S. there was 1.3 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil production offline in the U.S.-regulated areas of the Gulf of Mexico on Monday, about 80,000 barrels fewer than on Sunday. Workers also were returning to the more than 280 production platforms that had been evacuated. It can take several days for full production to be resumed after a storm leaves the Gulf of Mexico.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade with mixed path. U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday seized on slowing economic growth in China as evidence that U.S. tariffs were havinga major effect and warned that Washington could pile on more pressure as bilateral trade talks sputtered along. Copper prices took a break from a strong rally on Tuesday after positive industrial output and investment data from top consumer China sent prices to a two-week high in the previous session. Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was almost unchanged at $5,985.50 a tonne by 0229 GMT, while the most-traded copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange advanced 0.3% to 46,930 yuan ($6,827.17) a tonne. Protesters blocked a portion of Perus main coastal highway on Monday in the start of a new challenge to Southern Copper Corps $1.4 billion Tia Maria copper mine project that has been a lightning rod for conflict.
 



Investment  trading in securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647
For more details call on 9977499927 or visit our website www.capitalstars.com

Monday, 18 February 2019

Soybean futures (Mar) is likely to witness sell on rise from 3775 & is expected to test 3700 levels on the downside. 


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The initial estimates coming from the Soybean Processors’ Association (SOPA) shows that in the upcoming Kharif season output is likely to rise by a staggering 38% on a sharp increase in average yield across the country. India’s soybean output at 11.48 million tonnes this year compared to 8.3 million tonnes in the previous year on favourable climatic condition. This increase in production is being attributed to the major producing state in Madhya Pradesh wherein the yield is estimated to rise by 30.5% to 1,094 kg per ha for the current season from 838 kg from the previous season. The survey also highlighted that in Maharashtra output is estimated to rise by 32% to 3.84 million tonnes for this year from 2.91 million ha last year. Soy oil futures (Mar) is expected to face resistance near 770 levels & trade with a downside bias. Demand in the physical market is subdued from millers and crushers with ongoing lean season for soybean and oil market. CPO futures (Mar) is expected to plunge further & test 555 levels on reports of higher imports. The latest statistics show that imports of palm oils including RBD Palmolein and CPO touched 23.18 lakh tonnes (lt), up from 22.74 lt reported in the same period last year. Mustard futures (Apr) will possibly remain stable in the range of 3900-3940 levels. The changing weather patterns causing rainfall over the major growing regions where the crops are in the fields are bringing concerns over the production scenario.


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Friday, 15 February 2019

Cotton futures (Feb) is likely to plunge further towards 20100-20000 levels. 

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Cottonprices moved lower in Punjab, Haryana and upper Rajasthan, tracking weakness in US natural fiber. Sharp decline in domestic futures along with higher output estimate in China also weighed on spot prices. Worries about a looming March 1 deadline for a US-China trade agreement also dragged prices lower. Meanwhile, negotiators from the United States and China, the world's top soybean buyer, are trying to hammer out a trade deal before a March 1 deadline, when US tariffs on USD 200 billion worth of Chinese imports are scheduled to increase to 25 percent from 10 percent. Guar seed futures (Mar) may face resistance near 4300 levels, while guar gum futures (Mar) is expected to remain below 8520 levels. The weekon-week declining ratio of guar seed to guar gum is depicting the fact that demand for these commodities are decreasing. Chana futures (Mar) is expected to test 4335 levels on the higher side. The counter is trading higher at major markets in the country following firm cues from fresh physical trade activity at lower rates. Flour millers are actively purchasing chana due to cheaper prices and easy availability compared to White Pea. Moreover, the Cold waves and untimely rains may further damage the standing crop. Mentha oil (Feb) is likely to witness profit booking from higher levels facing resistance near 1650. However, overall sentiments are bullish as delayed sowing in the state is likely to affect the crop yield. As per reports, farmers are now worried as untimely rains and inclement weather conditions have delayed the sowing in key producing belts. The production is likely to be badly affected if weather conditions don't improve in the next few days. 


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Soybean futures (Mar) may face resistance near 3785 levels & trade with a negative bias.


India’s soybean output is likely to rise by a staggering 38 per cent this year on a sharp increase in average yield across the country, following favourable climatic condition in major cultivating states including Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and Rajasthan. Data captured through the latest assessment of farmers, traders and other stakeholders by the apex industry body the SoybeanProcessors’ Association (SOPA) showed India’s total soybean output standing at 11.48 million tonnes during the ongoing harvesting season as compared to 8.36 million tonnes in the previous season. Mustard futures (Apr) is expected to consolidate in the range of 3920-3960 levels. Heavy rains and hailstorms that lashed north-western India last week have caused damage to the oilseed. Ref. soy oil futures (Mar) is expected to trade with a negative bias facing resistance near 762 levels. CPO futures (Feb) may fall further & test 553 levels. Vegetable oil imports for the period from November 2018 to January 2019 stood at 36,20,316 tonnes — nearly flat as compared to what was reported in the same period last year. According to the data compiled by the Solvent Extractors’ Association of India (SEA), imports of palm oils — including RBD Palmolein and CPO — touched 23.18 lakh tonnes (lt), up from 22.74 lt reported in the same period last year. In news, The U.S. soybean processing pace slowed slightly in January from the previous month, although the crush was still the largest on record for the first month of the year, according to analysts polled ahead of a monthly National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA) report. The monthly NOPA report will be released at 11 a.m. CST (1700 GMT) on Friday.


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Tuesday, 12 February 2019

Turmeric futures (Apr) may see more downside of 6300-6250 levels owing to lack of sufficient cues from the demand side which are failing to pull up the prices.

On the spot markets, poor quality of new turmeric is arriving for sale due to which the stockiest are getting discouraged from fresh buying. The market participants are expecting upcountry demand but are getting very negligible numbers at present, hence getting the producers are not bringing their best quality produce. Though the production of Mysore turmeric at Karnataka area is in encouraging level, the farmers are bringing little quantity of the turmeric for sale every day. Jeera futures (Mar) has gone down to an extremely oversold zone & we may see some short covering with the counter expected to take support near 15300 levels. However, any sharp upside may not be seen as the fundamentals indicate that the current weather conditions over the major growing regions are conducive for the crop. This season, Gujarat has witnessed lower sowing, but due to cool weather persisting for a longer time, the yields are expected to get better. In Rajasthan, the climatic conditions are also proving to be beneficial for the standing crop & hence the production is likely to be higher. On the demand side, the exporters are almost inactive and waiting for the fresh crop to hit the markets. The short covering seen in coriander futures (Apr) may face resistance near 6320 levels. Spot coriander prices are trading with a bearish bias at major markets in Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan due to heavy arrivals from the ample old stocks.


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Monday, 11 February 2019

Cotton futures (Feb) is likely to witness a bounce back amid lower level buying taking support near 20400. 

 The statistics of lower output this season may lend cushion to the prices. In its latest estimates, the Cotton Association of India has further trimmed the crop size by 5 lakh bales to 330 lakh bales of 170 kg each for season 2018-19. This estimated crop size is the lowest in a decade. Guar seed futures (Mar) may show more sign of weakness & may even break the strong support near 4150 to test 4100-4050 levels, while guar gum futures (Mar) is expected to plunge further towards 8100 levels. The week-onweek declining ratio of guar seed to guar gum is depicting the fact that demand for these commodities are decreasing. Chana futures (Mar) is expected to show an upside momentum towards 4350, as soon as it surpasses the resistance near 4295 levels. The counter is trading higher at major markets in the country following firm cues from fresh physical trade activity at lower rates. Flour millers are actively purchasing chana due to cheaper prices and easy availability compared to White Pea. Moreover, the Cold waves and untimely rains may further damage the standing crop. Mentha oil (Feb) is likely to trade with a positive bias & may even rally up to test 1610, taking support near 1560 levels. Overall, sentiments are bullish as delayed sowing in the state is likely to affect the crop yield. As per reports, farmers are now worried as untimely rains and inclement weather conditions have delayed the sowing in key producing belts. The production is likely to be badly affected if weather conditions don't improve in the next few days.


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