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Showing posts with label Free commodity tips. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Free commodity tips. Show all posts

Tuesday, 16 October 2018


BULLION:-

There Gold prices held steady on Wednesday despite a rise in equities, with investors waiting for minutes from the US Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting for any fresh clues on the pace of interest rate hikes. Spot gold was up 0.1 per cent at $1,224.70 an ounce at 0100 GMT. On Monday, it touched its highest since July 26 at $1,233.26 an ounce. US President Donald Trump heaped more criticism on the Fed in an interview with Fox Business Network on Tuesday, extending his discontent beyond its chairman, Jerome Powell, whom he has frequently critiqued in public. Past US presidents have been reticent to criticize the central bank because its independence is seen as important for economic stability. But Trump in the past week has called the Fed "crazy," "loco," "ridiculous," and "too cute". Asian equities got some much needed relief on Wednesday after upbeat US earnings reports drove a rebound on Wall Street and helped restore a little confidence in emerging market stocks and currencies. 

METALS:-

On Tuesday, bargain-seekers pushed up LME copper to the daily moving average from early lows before a rally in US stocks rally that was fuelled by earnings and weighed on the dollar further bolstered LME copper to a high of $6,252.5/mt. The contract fell back to the daily moving average by close. The SHFE 1811 contract traded range bound in negative territory overnight. China factory prices slowed in September, indicating a potential slowdown in profit growth across Chinese manufacturers in the fourth quarter amid the ongoing trade war with the US. This is set to weigh on copper prices. LME copper is likely to trade at $6,200-6,250/mt today with SHFE copper at 50,000-50,500 yuan/mt. In the physical market, sellers are keen to cash in under the pressure from cash flows and existing stocks while downstream consumers hold back from purchases. While sellers lowered offers, trades remain sluggish. Spot discounts are seen at 60-20 yuan/mt today.


ENERGY:-

Oil prices extended gains into a fourth session on Wednesday, buoyed as industry data showed a surprise decline in U.S. crude inventories and as geopolitical tensions over the disappearance of a prominent Saudi journalist stoked supply worries. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 was up 15 cents, or 0.2 percent, at $72.07 a barrel by 0255 GMT on Wednesday, having settled up 14 cents. U.S. crude inventories fell by 2.1 million barrels last week, compared with analyst expectations for a build of 2.2 million barrels, American Petroleum Institute data showed after Tuesday's settlement. U.S. gasoline stocks dropped by a larger-than-expected 3.4 million barrels, while distillate fuel stockpiles declined by a smaller-than-expected 246,000 barrels, the API data showed.




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Monday, 15 October 2018


BULLION:-
There Gold prices inched higher early on Tuesday, hovering near a 2-1/2 month high hit in the previous session, as risk averse investors sought a safe haven amid rising political tensions and economic uncertainty. Spot gold was up 0.1 per cent at $1,227.76 an ounce at 0114 GMT. On Monday, it touched a peak of $1,233.26, the highest since July 26. Asian stocks bounced modestly on Tuesday, gaining a toe-hold after a week of heavy losses, although increasing tensions between Saudi Arabia and the West fanned geopolitical concerns and capped gains. The US government closed the 2018 fiscal year $779 billion in the red, its highest deficit in six years, as Republican-led tax cuts pinched revenues and expenses rose on a growing national debt, according to data released on Monday by the Treasury Department. 

METALS:-
London copper closed near its day lows at $6,253/mt on Monday as longs booked profits after the contract climbed to an intraday high of $6,342/mt. With bearish sentiment from weakness in the equity markets, longs booked profits after the SHFE 1811 contract crept to a high of 50,960 yuan/mt and hovered around the daily moving average. This dragged the contract down to close at a low of 50,480 yuan/mt overnight. The pessimistic sentiment, triggered by the equity rout, lingered and this slowed the growth in copper prices. However, China's robust exports in September and low stocks across LME, COMEX and SHFE warehouses could provide some support. On technicals, LME copper touched the 10-day moving average and its Bollinger bands appeared to converge; SHFE copper stood firmly above the five-day moving average. We expect LME copper to trade at $6,190-6,280/mt today with the SHFE 1811 contract at 50,500-51,000 yuan/mt. Spot prices are seen at discounts of 20 yuan/mt to premiums of 30 yuan/mt.

ENERGY:-

Oil prices rose on Tuesday on signs Iranian oil exports this month have fallen from September ahead of U.S. sanctions against Tehran that are set to start in November. Iran has exported 1.33 million barrels per day (bpd) to countries including India, China and Turkey in the first two weeks of October, according to Definitive Eikon data. That was down from 1.6 million bpd in September, the data showed. October exports are a sharp drop from the 2.5 million bpd exported in April before U.S. President Donald Trump withdrew from a multi-lateral nuclear deal with Iran in May and ordered the re-imposition of economic sanctions on the country, the third-largest producer among the members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).


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Thursday, 11 October 2018


BULLION:-
Gold edged down on Friday but held near an over two-month high hit in the previous session, when prices surged over 2 percent as a rout in global stock markets boosted the metal's safe-haven appeal. Spot gold was down 0.2 percent at $1,221.06 an ounce at the time of writing. On Thursday, it jumped about 2.5 percent after marking its highest since July 31 at $1,226.27. That was also the metal's best one-day percentage gain since June 2016. U.S. gold futures were down 0.3 percent at $1,224.50 an ounce. Worries about the economic impact of the Sino-U.S. trade war, a spike in U.S. bond yields this week and caution ahead of earnings seasons have all been cited as potential reasons behind the selloff, the biggest market rout since February.

METALS:-
London aluminium steadied on Friday after metals were caught in a widespread market sell-off this week, but it was set for its biggest weekly drop since June as concerns over raw material costs eased. LME aluminium had edged up 0.3 percent to $2,027 a tonne at the time of writing - still holding above the $2,000 level that has been its base since April. Prices were on course for a loss of nearly 4 percent this week, extending 2018's drop to 11 percent. Putting downward pressure on raw material costs, aluminium maker Norsk Hydro said it would resume half production at its giant Brazilian alumina plant, just days after declaring it would shut down completely. Shanghai Futures Exchange copper rose half a percent to 50,450 yuan ($7,312) a tonne. Open interest in China's copper contract is the lowest in 15 months. U.S. President Donald Trump warned on Thursday there was much more he could do that would hurt China's economy further, showing no signs of backing off an escalating trade war with Beijing.  

ENERGY:-

Oil prices steadied on Friday after a market rout driven by sharp falls in equity markets and indications that supply concerns have been overblown, but were still on track for a fall or more than 4 percent for the week. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 11 cents at $71.08 a barrel, after falling 3 percent in the previous session to the lowest since Sept. 21. U.S. crude inventories rose by 6 million barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration said, more than double analysts' expectations of a 2.6 million-barrel increase. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries cut its forecast of global demand growth for oil next year for a third straight month, citing headwinds facing the broader economy from trade disputes and volatile emerging markets. OPEC sees the oil market as well supplied and is wary of creating a glut next year, the group's secretary-general said on Thursday.


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Wednesday, 10 October 2018


BULLION:-

Gold prices edged higher in the morning session as some investors sought refuge in the precious metal after the global stocks tumbled and the U.S. dollar weakened. Spot gold rose 0.4 percent to $1,194.12 per ounce at the time of writing. U.S. gold futures settled up $1.9, or 0.16 percent, at $1,193.4. Stocks on major world markets fell to a three-month low, with the benchmark S&P500 stock index falling more than 3 percent, in its biggest one-day fall since February. The U.S. dollar index retreated from a seven-week peak hit in the previous session. Gold, however, has fallen over 13 percent since hitting a peak in April, with investors increasingly opting for the safety of the greenback as the U.S.-China trade war unfolded against a backdrop of rising U.S. interest rates. Rising bond yields have also dampened the appeal of gold, which pays no interest. Higher U.S. Treasury yields can translate into more demand for the dollar, making bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies. U.S. Treasury yields held near multi-year highs after government data showed the U.S. producer price index (PPI) climbed in September, which reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would continue raising interest rates.  

METALS:-

Zinc fell in the previous session on trade and inflation worries, although it had earlier risen back towards a 3-month high reached last week on shrinking inventories and smelter cuts in China. Zinc inventories in LME-registered warehouses fell to 194,575 tonnes from more than 250,000 tonnes in August and are nearing 10-year lows. Stockpiles in Shanghai Futures Exchange storehouses at 29,204 tonnes are the smallest since 2007. Also weighing on zinc were lingering worries that trade tensions will sap growth. The worries, coupled with rising U.S. bond yields, pushed world shares down to a three month low. Demand for refined zinc will exceed supply by 322,000 tonnes this year, but the gap will narrow to 72,000 tonnes in 2019, industry data showed on Monday. The premium of cash zinc over the three-month contract rose to $41.50, reversing recent falls and signaling a lack of nearby supply.  

ENERGY:-

Oil dropped on Thursday to extend big losses from the previous session as global stock markets suffered a rout, with crude prices also taking a hit from a weekly industry report showing U.S. crude inventories had risen more than expected. Supply worries also eased as Hurricane Michael likely spared oil assets from significant damage as it smashed into Florida, even as it caused injuries and widespread destruction. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were down 57 cents, or 0.8 percent, at $72.60 after dropping 2.4 percent in the previous session. U.S. crude stockpiles rose more than expected last week, while gasoline inventories increased and distillate stocks drew, industry group the American Petroleum Institute said on Wednesday. Crude inventories climbed by 9.7 million barrels in the week to Oct. 5 to 410.7 million, compared with analyst expectations for an increase of 2.6 million barrels. Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma delivery hub rose by 2.2 million barrels, API said. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) is due to release official government inventory data today at 08.30 PM IST. In the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, producers have cut daily oil production by roughly 42 percent due to the storm, the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement said.  


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Monday, 8 October 2018


BULLION:-

Gold fell to its lowest level in a week on Monday as investors sought safety in the U.S. dollar on concerns about a selloff in global stocks worsened by worries over economic growth in China. "The strong U.S. dollar and expectations of more interest rate hikes are pushing gold down and scaring gold investors. Even the Italian risk and a weakness in equities is not pushing investors to buy gold," said Carlo Alberto De Casa, chief analyst at Active Trades. Despite the losses, gold has held in a $34 range for the last 1-1/2 months, which some analysts say suggests resilience, worries over the damage to emerging market economies from higher U.S. interest rates has spurred safe-haven bidding.

METALS:-

London copper rebounded to a high of $6,224.5/mt from a low of $6,126/mt on Monday. This helped it stand firmly above the 20-day moving average. The SHFE 1811 contract reversed some gains overnight after hitting a high of 50,320 yuan/mt, which was near the five-day moving average. China’s actions, including a steep cut in the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves, quickening special bond issuance for shanty-town redevelopment, an increase in export tax rebates from November 1, supported copper prices in the domestic market. Stocks at home and abroad continued their declines. We expect LME copper to trade at $6,170-6,230/mt with the SHFE 1811 contract at 50,000-50,500 yuan/mt. Spot premiums are seen at 40-80 yuan/mt.

ENERGY:-

Oil prices rose on Tuesday as more evidence emerged that crude exports from Iran, OPEC's third-largest producer, are declining in the run-up to the re-imposition of U.S. sanctions and as a hurricane moved across the Gulf of Mexico. Iran's crude exports fell further in the first week of October, according to tanker data and an industry source, as buyers are seeking alternatives ahead of the start of the U.S. sanctions on Nov. 4 and creating a challenge to other OPEC oil producers as they seek to cover the shortfall. The Islamic Republic exported 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude in that seven-day period, Definitive Eikon data showed. An industry source who also tracks exports said October shipments were so far below 1 million bpd.


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Sunday, 7 October 2018


BULLION:-

Gold edged higher on Friday, on track for its biggest weekly gain in six, as the dollar softened after data showed U.S. job growth slowed more than expected last month and a slide in stock markets burnished the appeal of bullion as a safe haven. "The weaker-than-expected jobs data is supporting the overall current mood but the numbers were not disappointing enough to trigger fresh buying," said Heraeus precious metals trader Alexander Zumpfe. However, the Labor Department's monthly employment report also showed a steady rise in wages, suggesting moderate inflation pressures, which could allow the Federal Reserve to maintain a path of gradual interest rate increases. A weaker dollar makes bullion less expensive for buyers using other currencies. But rising interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding bullion

METALS:-

Last week, LME fell after it gained 3% on Wednesday with resistance at the 40-day moving average and support at $12,000/mt. Stocks across LME inventories continued to decline but on a smaller scale. We expect LME nickel to hover around $12,600/mt today with the SHFE 1811 contract trading at 103,500-105,000 yuan/mt. Spot prices are seen at 103,500-110,000 yuan/mt. London copper lost 0.67% to end at $6,186.5/mt on Friday. SHFE copper faces pressure from a strong US dollar and firm US economy. The recent US-Mexico-Canada Agreement will also put China’s exports under pressure. China’s central bank, however, provided some support. The reserve requirement ratios (RRRs) cut of 100 basis points announced on Sunday is set to bolster the stock market and grow anticipation of investment growth in infrastructure construction in the fourth quarter of the year. We expect LME copper to trade at $6,140-6,210/mt today with the SHFE 1811 contract at 49,000-50,100 yuan/mt. Spot premiums are seen at 20-70 yuan/mt as traders might clean up their stocks and downstream consumers would restock after the week-long break.

ENERGY:-


Oil has rallied to trade near four-year highs on concerns that the looming U.S. restrictions on the Islamic republic will squeeze shipments and spur a global crunch at a time when supplies are already being disrupted in Venezuela and Libya. Investors remain concerned the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies aren’t raising output quickly enough and that they may not have the capacity to fully cover disappearing volumes. Brent for December settlement fell as much as 96 cents to $83.20 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange and was at $83.30 at 10:28 a.m. in Singapore. The contract slipped 0.5 percent to $84.16 on Friday. The global benchmark crude traded at a $9.66 premium to U.S. West Texas Intermediate for the same month.

 


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Thursday, 4 October 2018


BULLION:-

Gold prices held steady early Friday as investors remained cautious after U.S. Treasury yields hit multi-year peaks and ahead of monthly employment data, which if stronger could boost the Federal Reserve’s case for a tighter monetary policy. Spot gold was flat at $1,199.20 an ounce at the time of writing. Spot gold was on track to gain 0.6 percent for the week, which would mark its biggest weekly gain since the week of Aug. 24. U.S. gold futures rose 0.1 percent to $1,202.90 an ounce. The U.S. Treasuries market’s two-day selloff pushed its volatility to its highest level since June as investors shed their bond holdings on surprisingly strong economic data and signals the Fed would raise interest rates further. Higher interest rates tend to boost the dollar and push bond yields up, putting pressure on gold prices by increasing the opportunity cost of holding nonyielding bullion. The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies was little changed at 95.765, after climbing to a six-week peak of 96.121 in the previous session.  

METALS:-

London aluminum held its ground on Friday as worries over an alumina shortage stoked cost inflation concerns, sending prices towards the biggest weekly gain in nearly six months. London Metal Exchange (LME) aluminium was little changed at $2,167 a tonne, down just 0.1 percent after hitting its loftiest since June at $2,267 the session before. Prices were on track for a 5.8 percent weekly rise, the biggest since April. The Brazilian state of Para on Thursday said it was surprised when Norsk Hydro decided a day earlier to halt operations at Alunorte, the world’s largest alumina refinery, and asked for a report explaining the decision. Other metals came under pressure from a stronger dollar. LME copper eased by 1.63 percent to $6,228 in the previous session, after the U.S. currency was boosted by solid demand for Treasuries following a strong payrolls report. The Shanghai Futures Exchange remains closed for the Golden Week holiday and will reopen on Monday.  

ENERGY:-


Oil prices rose on Friday, as traders focused on U.S. sanctions against Iran’s crude exports that are set to start next month to tighten global markets. The gains helped claw back some of the losses from the previous session due to rising U.S. inventories and after Saudi Arabia and Russia said they would raise output to at least partly make up for expected disruptions from Iran. International benchmark Brent crude oil futures were at $84.98 per barrel at the time of writing, up 40 cents, or 0.5 percent from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 50 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $74.83 a barrel. Overall oil market sentiment is bullish. Financial traders have accumulated bullish long positions betting on a further rise in prices amounting to almost 1.2 billion barrels of oil. Meanwhile, the number of short positions in the six most important petroleum futures and options contracts has fallen to the lowest level since before 2013, creating a near-record imbalance between bullish and bearish positions in financial crude markets. 


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Saturday, 29 September 2018

BULLION:-

Gold hit a fresh six-week low on Friday as the dollar firmed after upbeat U.S. economic data supported the Federal Reserve's resolve for steady interest rate hikes, putting the metal on track for its longest monthly losing streak since January 1997. The dollar gained against its peers on Friday as data showed U.S. economic growth accelerated in the second quarter at its fastest pace in nearly four years. Another report showed durable goods rose 4.5 percent in August, rebounding from a revised 1.2 percent drop the month before. USD/ short-term outlook is bearish for gold as the dollar may see some upside due to an ongoing trade war between China and the U.S. and the Federal Reserve interest rate hike outlook, according to Argonaut Securities analyst Helen Lau. The Fed raised interest rates on Wednesday and said it planned four more increases by the end of 2019 and another in 2020.  


ENERGY:-

Oil prices steadied on Friday as U.S. sanctions on Tehran squeezed Iranian crude exports, tightening supply even as other key exporters increased production. "The fall in Iranian production is set to intensify once the second round of U.S. sanctions come into effect in November," said Abhishek Kumar, senior analyst at Interfax Europe Ltd. A new round of U.S. sanctions on Iran, the third-largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, kick in on Nov. 4. Washington is demanding that buyers of Iranian oil cut imports to zero to force Tehran to negotiate a new nuclear agreement and to curb its influence in the Middle East. Saudi Arabia is expected to add extra oil to the market over the next couple of months to offset the drop in Iranian production. sources familiar with OPEC policy told Reuters Saudi Arabia and other producers had discussed a possible production increase of about 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) among OPEC and non-OPEC producers. 


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Tuesday, 25 September 2018


BULLION:-

Gold prices nudged down early Wednesday on a firmer dollar, as investors waited for details of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting that should give clues whether policymakers will raise interest rates for the third time this year. Spot gold XAU= was down 0.1 percent at $1,200.18 at the time of writing. Investors await details from the two-day Federal Reserve meeting that began on Tuesday, with the U.S. central bank expected to raise benchmark interest rates and shed light on the path for future rate hikes. Higher U.S. interest rate typically pressure gold, since it costs to store and insure, but does not pay interest. U.S. consumer confidence surged to an 18-year high in September as households grew more upbeat about the labour market, pointing to sustained strength in the economy despite an increasingly bitter trade dispute between the United States and China. U.S. President Donald Trump’s top trade official said on Tuesday that changing China’s economic policies to become more market-oriented “is not going to be easy” even with tariffs now in place on $250 billion worth of Chinese goods.  

METALS:-

London copper fell for a third session in a row on Wednesday ahead of a widely expected U.S. interest rate hike and persistent worries over an escalating U.S.-China trade war. Fed funds rates futures implied traders are fully pricing in a rate hike on Wednesday, with an 85 percent chance the Fed will raise rates again in December. The Federal Reserve has already raised rates twice this year. Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 0.6 percent at $6,277.50 a tonne at the time of writing. On the Shanghai Futures Exchange, the most-traded November copper gained 0.6 percent to 50,500 yuan ($7,350) a tonne. With Wednesday’s rate hike expected, investor focus will be on the Fed’s policy statement and Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference following the meeting. 

ENERGY:-

Brent oil edged further away from a four-year high on Wednesday and U.S. crude fell, after the U.S. said it would ensure crude markets are well supplied before sanctions are re-imposed on Iran and as President Donald Trump criticized high prices. Brent crude futures were down 43 cents, or 0.5 percent, at $81.44 a barrel at the time of writing, after gaining nearly 1 percent the previous session. Earlier on Tuesday, Brent hit its highest since November 2014 at $82.55 per barrel. U.S. crude futures were down 40 cents, or 0.6 percent at $71.88 a barrel. They rose 0.3 percent on Tuesday to close at their highest level since mid-July. However, Brent is on course for its fifth consecutive quarterly increase, the longest such stretch for the global benchmark since early 2007, when a six-quarter run led to a record-high of $147.50 a barrel.  



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Monday, 24 September 2018


Gold Prices Look to Fed Policy Meeting for Range Break Catalyst.-Gold prices continued to echo swings in the US Dollar, with an inconclusive Monday session for the latter echoed in the former. On balance, lasting direction may not emerge until after Wednesday’s FOMC monetary policy announcement. In shaping the outlook for prevailing yields and the greenback, it will speak directly to the relative appeal of non-interest-bearing and anti-fiat assets epitomized by the yellow metal. Gold prices remain confined to a choppy range below the August 28 high at 1214.30. A daily close above that and falling trend resistance at 1220.00 targets opens the door for another challenge of the 1235.24-41.64 area. Alternatively, a break below the range floor at 1183.28 – marked by the August 24 low– targets the swing bottom at 1160.37. 

The US is on the cusp of implementing tariffs of 10% on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods- 
 While LME copper came off from earlier highs, it still stood above the 60-day moving average overnight. Global visible inventories extended their declines last week with SHFE stocks down 23,500 mt to 111,000 mt. Such low inventories could provide some support to copper prices. The SHFE 1811 contract is likely to pull back in the short term after it broke through the upper Bollinger band on Friday. Spot premiums are seen at 80-130 yuan/mt. 

 Growing supplies amid an open import arbitrage window.-LME nickel plunged to $12,780/mt overnight before it hovered around $12,825/mt. We expect a weak performance for the SHFE 1811 contract today given its weak LME counterpart and growing supplies amid an open import arbitrage window. LME nickel is likely to hover around $12,850/mt today; the SHFE 1811 contract is likely to trade at 103,000-104,500 yuan/mt with spot prices at 103,500-110,000 yuan/mt. 

Oil rises to within 4-year high as producers resist output increase to offset Iran sanctions.- Crude Oil benchmark Brent rose for a second day on Tuesday, remaining within range of a four-year high reached during the previous session. Looming U.S. sanctions against Iran and the unwillingness or inability of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and top oil producer Russia to raise output to offset the loss of Iranian supply have spurred prices higher. The United States from Nov. 4 will target Iran's oil exports with sanctions, and Washington is putting pressure on governments and companies around the world to fall in line and cut purchases from Tehran. While Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia and Iran on Tuesday said they were determined to develop payment mechanisms to continue trading despite the sanctions by the United States, most analysts expect Washington's actions to knock between 1 million and 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil supplies out of markets. U.S. President Donald Trump has demanded that OPEC and Russia increase their supplies to make up for the expected fall in Iranian exports. Iran is the third-largest producer in OPEC. 



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Sunday, 23 September 2018


BULLION:-

Gold prices headed lower on Friday as a stronger dollar dented demand for the precious metal, but it was still on track for its first weekly climb in four as investors reentered their attention on the Federal Reserve. The fall in dollar this week came as safe-haven demand for the U.S. currency ebbed amid continued relief that fresh U.S. and Chinese tariffs on reciprocal imports were less harsh than originally feared. On Monday, the U.S. slapped tariffs of 10% on $200 billion in Chinese goods, before they rise to 25% by the end of 2018, rather than an outright 25%.The precious metal has dropped more than 10% from a peak in April as escalating U.S.-China trade dispute and rising U.S. interest rates were cited as catalysts for the selling in gold.

METALS:-

As longs aggressively added their positions, the SHFE 1811 contract jumped past 50,000 yuan/mt, a psychologically-significant level, to an intraday high of 50,020 yuan/mt before it edged down to close at 49,740 yuan/mt. Open interest for the October contract shrank 8,024 lots while that for January-March contracts grew 14,198 lots. The spread between October and November contract exceeded 300 yuan/mt. On the technical front, MACD red line extended further, suggesting an open upward track for the contract. The SHFE 1811 contract climbed past the 20-day moving average to 105,220 yuan/mt on a substantial buildup of long positions. The contract then reversed little gains and closed at 104,870 yuan/mt. On the technical front, KDJ lines expanded upwards and MACD red line lengthened.


ENERGY:-

Crude oil markets were all over the place on Friday, based upon a lot of different moving pieces. Not the least of which would have been a searching US dollar. The market does want to go higher but the US dollar strengthening based upon the noise and the United Kingdom has put more bearish pressure on this. Overall, I think that the market will be paying attention to quadruple witching during the session as well, so quite frankly I would pay more attention to the longer-term trend of going higher. The US dollar is the counterbalance, so pay attention to that. The $77.50 level underneath will be supported as well, but at this point I think that oil traders have decided that they want to go higher. If we break above the $80 level, it’s likely that we will then go to the $82.50 level next. Expect volatility regardless of what happens, so be very cautious about your position size going into this next couple of days.




Investment & trading in securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647.


Thursday, 20 September 2018

Investors are disillusioned with Gold ETFs. In the first 5 months of the financial year 2018-19, investor has invested Rs 241 crore from Gold Exchange-traded funds (Gold ETFs), while in August, the fund has withdrawn Rs 45 crore. The investment has increased.

5 months Gold Funds AUM Rs 4445 Crore Minus

According to the figures released by the Association of Mutual Fund of India (AMFI), the assets of gold funds under the Financial Institutions (AUM) 7.5 percent in the first 5 months of FY 2018-19. By the end of August, the AUM has decreased by Rs 4,445 crore.
Gold ETFs are getting out of money in the past five years. However, in 2012-13, the fund had an investment of Rs 1,414 crore.

Investing in equities in place of gold in the stock market rally

According to industry experts, Indian investors have been disillusioned with Gold ETFs with better returns in the stock market. That's why money is being released from the Gold Fund for the last 5 years. Morningstar manager research director Kaushutha Belapurkar says that Indian investors prefer to buy gold in physical form instead of ETFs. Typically, investing 5-10% of the investor's portfolio is invested in gold. This is the reason why investors are investing in equity rather than investing in gold and elsewhere.
Look at the statistics
The advantage or loss in gold ETFs depends on the price of gold in the market. According to the data, 14 gold linked ETFs have been withdrawn from 45 crores in August, while in July this fund had generated 50 crores. In August last year, gold ETF was withdrawn from Rs 58 crores.

Increasing investment in tax saving schemes
On the contrary, money is being levied by Gold ETF, while investment in equity and equity linked schemes (ELSS) is increasing rapidly. Last month, the fund had invested Rs 7,700 crore.


Investment & trading in securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647.