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Showing posts with label Intraday commodity tips. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Intraday commodity tips. Show all posts

Thursday, 1 August 2019


BULLION - The price of gold shot up from about 34040 to around 35630 as investor flocked into gold as yields plummeted following the increase in tariffs between the US and China. Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on $300 billion worth of Chinese imports on Sept. 1 after U.S. negotiators returned from trade talks in Shanghai, saying China had failed to buy large quantities of U.S. agricultural products as promised. Trump also said if trade negotiations fail to progress he could raise tariffs further - even beyond the 25% levy he has already imposed on $250 billion of imports from China. The tariffs may also force the Federal Reserve to again cut interest rates to protect the U.S. economy from trade-policy risk. The October Fed funds rate futures FFV9 have jumped to now fully price in a rate cut in September, compared with only around 60% before the tariff announcement. Another 25 basis point move is priced in by December.

ENERGY- Steadying after an overnight plunge following U.S. President Donald Trumps move to impose more tariffs on Chinese imports, intensifying a trade war that has hit global growth. Brent crude slumped more than 7% on Thursday, its steepest drop in more than three years. U.S. crude fell nearly 8%, posting its worst day in more than four years, The collapse ended a fragile rally built on steady drawdowns in U.S. inventories, even as global demand looked shaky due to the trade dispute between the worlds two biggest economies. Total U.S. oil demand in May fell 98,000 bpd to 20.26 million bpd, data showed earlier this week. OPEC and partners including Russia, an alliance known as OPEC+, have been curbing output this year to support the market. In July, OPEC production revisited a 2011 low, helped by a further cut by Saudi Arabia. Despite the rally on Wednesday, the hotter trends in the overnight data are still not hot enough to impress and suggests there is still a bearish bias in the market. The rally we say yesterday was probably driven by short-covering due to the slight change in the weather pattern and grossly oversold technical indicators. Weekly storage report is expected to show a 57 Bcf injection for the week-ending July 26. Energy Aspects is calling for a 55 Bcf injection. Intercontinental Exchange EIA Financial Weekly Index futures settled at 60 Bcf. Last year the EIA recorded a 31 Bcf injection for the period, and the five-year average build is 37 Bcf.

BASE METAL - Copper hitting its lowest in over three weeks after U.S. President Donald Trump said he would slap a 10% tariff on the remaining $300 billion of Chinese imports from next month. The reactivation of a smelter belonging to Chiles state-run Codelco, the worlds top copper producer, will be further delayed until the end of October this year after missing a previous target of April. Copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange dipped 0.6%, aluminium eased 0.2%. Three-month LME copper touched its lowest since July 10 at $5,876 a tonne before paring losses to $5,899, a decline of 0.5%.Zinc and lead dropped 0.8% each. However, nickel rose 1.2% and tin was almost unchanged. Nickel prices were also under pressure after Indonesia's state mining company PT Aneka Tam bangs nickel ore output in Jan-Jun rose 27% on year to 4.79 mln tn. Benchmark aluminium on the London Metal Exchange dropped for a third session and slipped 1.1% in final open-outcry trading to $1,780 a tonne, its weakest since July 3.

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Wednesday, 31 July 2019


BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on negative path as gold prices slipped to a two-week low on Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a 25-basis-point rate cut as expected but ruled out a lengthy easing cycle, sending the dollar to a two-year peak. Policymakers moved the U.S. central bank's benchmark overnight lending rate to a target range of 2.00% to 2.25%, citing concerns about the global economy and muted U.S. inflation. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell, speaking in a news conference after the release of the central bank's statement, characterized Wednesday's rate cut as "a mid-cycle adjustment to policy", a sign to markets that further sharp cuts were not imminent. U.S. Treasuries reacted to Powell's remarks by flattening the yield curve as the front-end of the market scaled back on prior expectations for at least a 100 basis points of easing in the near-term. U.S. and Chinese negotiators ended a brief round of trade talks on Wednesday with little sign of progress and agreed to meet again in September, prolonging an uneasy truce in a year-long trade war between the world's two largest economies. The U.S. Mint sold 5,500 ounces of American Eagle gold coins in July, up 10% from the previous month, according to the latest data.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on negative path as oil prices fell more than $1 on Thursday, declining for the first time in six days, after the U.S. Federal Reserve dampened hopes for a string of rate cuts and Sino-U.S. trade talks ended without progress. The drop came despite a bigger-than-expected decline in inventories in the U.S. and a drop in crude production among OPEC members, along with Libya cutting exports, typically bullish drivers for the market. Meanwhile, U.S. crude oil stockpiles fell for the seventh straight week, declining to their lowest levels since November even as production rebounded and net imports increased, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. Crude inventories fell 8.5 million barrels in the week ended July 26, far exceeding analysts expectations for a decrease of 2.6 million barrels. Libyas state-owned National Oil Corp declared force majeure on loadings of crude from the countrys largest oil field on Wednesday. U.S. natural gas futures rose 4.5% on Wednesday, recovering from a three-year low touched the previous day as investors covered short positions..

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade on sideways to weaker path. Pressure on China's factories eased a little in July due to growth-boosting steps from the government, but overall manufacturing activity remained in contraction, a private survey showed on Thursday. London copper prices slipped to a three-week low on Thursday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the U.S. central bank's first rate cut since 2008 was not the start of a long easing cycle, while Sino-U.S. trade talks appeared to have made little progress. U.S. and Chinese negotiators ended a round of trade talks with little sign of progress and agreed to meet again in September, prolonging an uneasy truce in a year-long trade war between the world's top two economies. A Chinese billionaire has been indicted by a grand jury on charges he schemed with the aluminum company he founded to evade $1.8 billion of tariffs by smuggling huge amounts of the metal into the United States, federal prosecutors said on Wednesday.



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Thursday, 25 July 2019



BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on weaker path as gold prices witnessed sharp decline in the previous session, while investors awaited U.S. economic growth data due later in the day that could provide clues about the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting. Gold fell on Thursday after data showed that weekly U.S. jobless claims number fell to a three-month low last week, pointing to strength in the labor market, while new orders for key U.S.-made capital goods surged 1.9 % in June. Market participants are now looking ahead to the U.S. central bank's July 30-31 monetary policy meeting where it is expected to trim its interest rate by at least 25 basis points. U.S. Treasury yields following rosier-than-expected economic sentiment from the European Central Bank. The ECB signalled its intention to explore monetary easing, but left interest rates unchanged, and bank President Mario Draghi struck a more upbeat tone on the economy than investors expected. The ECB signalled its intention to explore monetary easing, but left interest rates unchanged, and bank President Mario Draghi struck a more upbeat tone on the economy than investors expected.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on weaker path as oil prices fell after a Reuters poll showed global economic growth is likely to slow further amid the U.S.-China trade war, although losses were limited by tensions in the Middle East. A global economic growth rut risks deepening, despite expectations that major central banks will cut rates or ease policy further, according to Reuters polls of over 500 economists who remain worried about the U.S.-China trade war. Increasing pessimism is clear from the latest polls taken July 1-24, which show the growth outlook for nearly 90% of over 45 economies polled was either downgraded or left unchanged. That applied not just to this year but also 2020. While concerns over Middle East supply disruptions have led to recent price spikes, oil has generally been under pressure from worries about global economic growth amid growing signs of harm from the rumbling Sino-U.S. trade war over the past year. U.S. natural gas futures gained over 1% on Thursday following the release of a report showing a smaller-than-usual storage build last week and forecasts for slightly higher demand over the next two weeks than previously expected.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade on subdued path. Copper prices dropped on Friday, on track for their first weekly decline in three, as comments from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi were less dovish than hoped after the bank held rates steady at its latest meeting. An aggressive easing by a major central bank generally supports growth and helps lift metal prices. Perus president said his government will re-evaluate its recent decision to grant a construction permit to Southern Copper Corp for its proposed mine Tia Maria at the request of local authorities calling for its annulment. The European Central Bank (ECB) signalled its intention to explore monetary easing but left interest rates unchanged on Thursday. Lead negotiators for China and the United States will meet in Shanghai on Tuesday for two days in the next round of trade talks aimed to end their year-long trade war, Chinas commerce ministry confirmed. 

Investment  trading in securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647
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Monday, 22 July 2019


BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on weaker path as gold prices fell in early Asian trade on Tuesday as the dollar rose to a near one-week high on expectation of a smaller interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve at the end of this month. The U.S. central bank is widely expected to lower its interest rate target range of 2.25%-2.50% by 25 basis points at a meeting ending July 31, but expectations for a larger 50-basis point cut have waxed and waned due to mixed signals from Fed policymakers. The global march towards lower interest rates reaches Europe this week with the European Central Bank expected at least to signal easier monetary policy. Expectations of policy easing by major central banks such as the Fed propped up global stocks on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Sterling was on the back foot on Tuesday as investors worried Boris Johnson, the front runner to become the UK's next prime minister, would trigger a "hard Brexit" from the European Union. 

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on mixed path as oil prices inched lower on Tuesday as the International Energy Agency (IEA) said it would act quickly if needed to keep the market supplied amid tensions in the Middle East and traders eyed a weaker demand outlook. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said it was closely monitoring developments in the Strait of Hormuz. Consumers can be reassured that the oil market is currently well supplied, with oil production exceeding demand in the first half of 2019, pushing up global stocks by 900,000 barrels per day, the IEA said in a statement. The potential for disruption in the Middle East has come amid a more fundamental souring of market sentiment in recent days, with hedge funds, producers and traders all taking a more bearish tack in response to what they see as weakness in worldwide demand. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and some non-affiliated producers including Russia, known collectively as OPEC+, have withheld supplies since the start of the year to prop up prices. U.S. natural gas futures gained almost 3% on Monday as forecasts for hotter weather and higher cooling demand next week lifted prices from two-week lows hit last week.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade with upside path. Most base metals rose on the LME, but lost ground on the Shanghai Futures Exchange as investors eyed monetary policies from major central banks, including a highly expected policy easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve. Expectations of policy easing by major central banks such as the Federal Reserve propped up global stocks. The global world refined copper market showed a 96,000 tonnes deficit in April, compared with a 42,000 tonnes deficit in March, the International Copper Study Group said in its latest monthly bulletin. London nickel prices rebounded on Tuesday after two sessions of declines, hovering around a one-year peak, while the base metals complex was broadly higher. Global primary aluminum output fell to 5.246 million tonnes in June from revised 5.406 million tonnes in May, data from the International Aluminium Institute showed on Monday.

Investment  trading in securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647
For more details call on 9977499927 or visit our website www.capitalstars.com

Tuesday, 16 July 2019



BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on sideways to weaker path as gold prices edged lower on Wednesday, but still held above the psychological $1,400 level, as the dollar gained after robust U.S. retail sales tempered fears of a sharp downturn in the world's largest economy. The Commerce Department said retail sales rose 0.4% last month as households stepped up purchases of motor vehicles and a variety of other goods. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales edging up 0.1% in June. However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday reiterated pledges to "act as appropriate" to keep the U.S. economy humming, in a speech that did not deviate from expectations that a rate cut is on the way. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump said on Tuesday the United States still has a long way to go to conclude a trade deal with China but could impose tariffs on an additional $325 billion worth of Chinese goods if it needed to do so.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on weaker path as oil steadied after falling more than 3% overnight, with U.S. crude trailing Brent after U.S. inventory data fell short of expectations, amid conflicting signals from the U.S. and Iran over the disputes that have roiled prices recently. Iran denied it was willing to negotiate over its ballistic missile program, contradicting a claim by U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, and appearing to undercut Trumps statement that Washington had made progress on its disputes with Tehran. Tensions between the United States and Iran over Tehrans nuclear program have lent support to oil futures; given the potential for a price spike should the situation deteriorate. Crude inventories fell by 1.4 million barrels in the week to July 12 to 460 million, industry group the American Petroleum Institute said on Tuesday. Still, more than half the daily crude production in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico remained offline on Tuesday in the wake of Hurricane Barry, the U.S. drilling regulator said, as most oil companies were re-staffing facilities to resume production. U.S. natural gas futures on Tuesday fell more than 4%, its biggest daily percentage decline since late January on forecasts for less hot weather through the end of July than previously forecast and a slow return of production from the Gulf of Mexico after Tropical Storm Barry.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade with mixed path. Peruvian President Martin Vizcarra rejected a demand from a regional governor on Tuesday to cancel a permit for Southern Copper Corps $1.4 billion Tia Maria copper mine project amid protests from local residents. London zinc prices fell on Wednesday, ending a five-session streak of gains, after data showed a global zinc market deficit narrowed in May. The global zinc market deficit narrowed to 27,200 tonnes in May from an upwardly revised deficit of 87,500 tonnes in April, data from the International Lead and Zinc Study Group (ILZSG) showed. Zinc inventories in LME-approved warehouses have risen around 60% since April when the stockpiles hit a record low, while stocks in warehouses tracked by ShFE have jumped 268% year-to-date. The global lead market recorded a 13,400-tonne surplus in May after a deficit of 30,800 tonnes in April, data from the ILZSG showed.
 



Investment  trading in securities market is always subjected to market risks, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647
For more details call on 9977499927 or visit our website www.capitalstars.com

Monday, 15 July 2019



BULLION - Bullion counter may trade on sideways to weaker path as gold prices were little changed in early Asian trade on Tuesday as investors awaited U.S. retail sales data due later in the day for further clues on policy easing from the Federal Reserve in the face of a global slowdown. The dollar index was relatively unchanged against a basket of major currencies as the prospect of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut later in the month kept the greenback on the defensive. A rate cut this month is seen as certain with interest rate futures traders pricing in a 72% chance of a 25 basis point cut and a 28% likelihood of a 50 basis point cut, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool. Longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields edged lower on Monday as investors focused on Tuesday's retail sales figures as the next indicator of the strength of the U.S. economy. India's gold imports rose 13.04% to $2.69 billion in June compared with a year earlier, the trade ministry said in a statement on Monday.

ENERGY- Crude oil may trade on weaker path as oil prices fell for a second day on Tuesday as more production facilities returned to operation in the U.S. Gulf after Hurricane Barry swept through over the weekend, while Chinese economic data dimmed the outlook for crude demand. U.S. crude fell by 10 cents, or 0.2% to $59.48 a barrel. The U.S. benchmark fell about 1% in the previous session. Both contracts last week made their biggest weekly gains in three weeks as U.S. oil inventories fell and diplomatic tensions rose in the Middle East. In the U.S. there was 1.3 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil production offline in the U.S.-regulated areas of the Gulf of Mexico on Monday, about 80,000 barrels fewer than on Sunday. Workers also were returning to the more than 280 production platforms that had been evacuated. It can take several days for full production to be resumed after a storm leaves the Gulf of Mexico.

BASE METAL - Base metals may trade with mixed path. U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday seized on slowing economic growth in China as evidence that U.S. tariffs were havinga major effect and warned that Washington could pile on more pressure as bilateral trade talks sputtered along. Copper prices took a break from a strong rally on Tuesday after positive industrial output and investment data from top consumer China sent prices to a two-week high in the previous session. Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was almost unchanged at $5,985.50 a tonne by 0229 GMT, while the most-traded copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange advanced 0.3% to 46,930 yuan ($6,827.17) a tonne. Protesters blocked a portion of Perus main coastal highway on Monday in the start of a new challenge to Southern Copper Corps $1.4 billion Tia Maria copper mine project that has been a lightning rod for conflict.
 



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Monday, 18 February 2019

Cotton futures (Feb) is expected to bounce back amid short covering and lower level buying taking support near 19990.


On the spot markets, cotton prices are expected to remain firm this year due to lower production in the country, apart from rising consumption. In the international markets, the traders are keeping an eye on what's going on over in Beijing for some positive news. High-level officials from the US and China are in talks as a critical trade war deadline is getting closer since March 1 marks the deadline for the current 90-day pause in the trade war. Chana futures (Mar) is expected to intensify its rally & test 4350 levels. Dal mills have kicked off stocking to build inventory after a jump in arrival of pulses from fresh harvest that is likely to double up in coming weeks. Dal mills purchase raw pulses from market and then process it into dal of various grades. On processing 60% comes out as dal, while 25% goes as cattle feed. The rest is wasted. Another reason for the upside momentum is being attributed to the market talks that Nafed will not sell chana in open markets and will go to build buffer stock around 10 lakh tonnes. The trend of mentha oil (Feb) is bullish & may take support near 1590 levels. Weather disturbances in the major growing areas are giving signals of delayed sowing in the key growing areas of Uttar Pradesh. Moreover, demand from both domestic and export fronts are emerging at existing price levels. Export demand has started to pick up from China. 

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Tuesday, 12 February 2019

Cotton futures (Feb) is likely to witness a bounce back amid lower level buying taking support near 20400. 

The statistics of lower output this season may lend cushion to the prices. In its latest estimates, the Cotton Association of India has further trimmed the crop size by 5 lakh bales to 330 lakh bales of 170 kg each for season 2018-19. This estimated crop size is the lowest in a decade. Guar seed futures (Mar) may face resistance near 4300 levels, while guar gum futures (Mar) is expected to remain below 8500-8550 levels. The week-on-week declining ratio of guar seed to guar gum is depicting the fact that demand for these commodities are decreasing. Chana futures (Mar) is expected to take support near 4210 levels. Thecounter is trading higher at major markets in the country following firm cues from fresh physical trade activity at lower rates. Flour millers are actively purchasingchana due to cheaper prices and easy availability compared to White Pea. Moreover, the Cold waves and untimely rains may further damage the standing crop. Mentha oil (Feb) is likely to trade with a positive bias & may even rally up to test 1610, taking support near 1570 levels. Overall, sentiments are bullish as delayed sowing in the state is likely to affect the crop yield. As per reports, farmers are now worried as untimely rains and inclement weather conditions have delayed the sowing in key producing belts. The production is likely to be badly affected if weather conditions don't improve in the next few days.


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Monday, 7 January 2019




BULLION-
MCX Gold and Silver may note choppy trade in line with the international market but the overall bias is on the upside. COMEX gold trades mixed near $1290/oz after a 0.3% gain yesterday. Gold has turned choppy after testing $1300/oz level for the first time since June 2018. The rally in gold price came to a halt amid improved risk sentiment. Progress over US-China trade talks, upbeat US labour data, Feds patient stance on interest rate hikes and Chinas move to cut reserve requirement rate helped global equity market stabilize. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said there's a "very good chance" the US gets a reasonable deal with China. ETF outflows also show some profit taking in gold. Gold holdings with SPDR ETF fell by 1.47 tonnes to 796.78 tonnes. However, supporting price is the weaker outlook for US dollar amid Feds cautious tone on US economy and patient stance on interest rate hikes. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said the US central bank should only raise interest rates once this year but keep going with its plan to gradually shrink the balance sheet. While risk sentiment has improved, global uncertainty persists amid a slowdown in the Chinese economy, US government shutdown and Brexit uncertainty. Gold may witness mixed trade as market players await fresh cues. However, we maintain buy on dips view as US dollar is likely to remain choppy while risk sentiment may not improve significantly. COMEX Silver trades weaker near $15.7/oz amid rangebound movement in gold and weakness in industrial metals. Gold has turned choppy amid lack of fresh cues. Industrial metals are pressurized by concerns about the Chinese economy. ETF outflows also show weaker investor interest. Silver holdings with iShares ETF fell by 72.98 tonnes to 9790.1 tonnes, lowest since June 2018. The spot gold-silver ratio rose from 81.9 to 82.4 as silver ended lower yesterday. 

BASE METAL - Basemetal on LME trade sideways to lower today after ending on a higher note yesterday. LME Zinc was the top performer with 2.5% gains following a 0.7% rise in Aluminum prices and 0.4% gains in Nickel prices. In other metals, Copper and Lead too ended modestly higher. The metals pack trades sideways to lower in early trades today after two days of gains amid caution ahead of US-China trade talks outcome. Markets are in a wait and watch mode as they await the outcome of US-China trade talks. The Trump administration has expressed optimism it can reach a reasonable trade deal with China as President Xi Jinping dispatched one of his top aides to negotiations in Beijing. Also putting pressure on the prices is demand worries especially from top consumer China along with and a mixed trend in the global equity market. 


ENERGY -Crude Oil- MCX Crude may note choppy trade in line with international prices but overall bias may be on the upside. NYMEX crude trades mixed near $48.5/bbl after a 1.2% gain yesterday. Crude hit a session high of $49.79/bbl yesterday but retreated to end the day at $48.52/bbl. Crude has rallied more than 15% from recent lows amid lower output from OPEC and recovery in the US equity market. OPECs production fell last month while OPEC and allies have promised adherence to the 1.2 million barrels per day cut deal which will run from January to June. US and global equity market recovered amid upbeat US labour data, Chinas move to cut reserve requirement and progress over US-China trade talks. Also supporting crude is decline in US crude oil rig count which indicates weakening production interest. Early forecasts indicate that US weekly report may note a 1.1 million barrels decline in US crude oil stocks. While crude has recovered sharply from recent lows, the rally will be challenged by higher US output and demand concerns amid uncertainty about US and Chinese economy. US crude production is at record high level and is expected to rise further. Concerns about US economy are high amid mixed economic data, continuing government shutdown and impact on corporate earnings from trade war and higher interest rates. Chinese economic data continues to show a slowdown in the economy. Crude may witness choppy trade amid lack of fresh cues but general improvement in risk sentiment and lower OPEC supply will
support price.Natural Gas- MCX Natural gas may note mixed trade in line with the international market but sell on rising is suggested. NYMEX natural gas trades marginally higher near $2.96/mmBtu after a 3.3% decline yesterday. Lack of fresh cues has resulted in some short covering in natural gas. However, weighing on price is a forecast of mild weather in US which will keep a check on heating demand. Also weighing on price is expectations of another smaller than average decline in gas stocks which will further ease tightness concerns. Natural gas may witness choppy trade amid lack of fresh cues but slack demand expectations may keep the pressure on price. The focus will be on US weather and trend in energy prices. 


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Sunday, 6 January 2019


BULLION:- counter may continue its last week upside momentum following comments by U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell that the central bank would be patient and flexible in steering the course of interest rates. The Fed chairman on Friday sought to ease market concerns that the U.S. central bank was ignoring signs of an economic slowdown, saying he was aware of the risks and would be patient and flexible in policy decisions this year. Gold can test 31650 in MCX taking support near 31370 in MCX and silver can move further upwards towards 39500. U.S. employers hired the most workers in 10 months in December while boosting wages, pointing to sustained strength in the economy that could ease fears of a sharp slowdown in growth. Gold discounts in India widened to a two-month high last week as prices surged to a more than six-month peak and demand remained subdued due to New Year holidays. Chinese officials will meet their U.S. counterparts for trade negotiations starting later Monday, the first face-to-face talks of the year.

BASE METALS:- prices may continue last week recovery on the hope of trade deal between US and China this week. Copper can take key support near 400 and can recover towards 416. Zambia's Konkola Copper Mines (KCM), majority owned by Vedanta Resources, suspended operations at its Nchanga mine following the introduction of import duty on copper concentrates, the company said. Zambia, Africa's No.2 copper producer, introduced new mining duties, increased royalties and plans to replace Value Added Tax (VAT) with a sales tax by April to help bring down mounting debt. Zinc can recover towards 175 taking support near 168. China's steel and iron ore futures started the week firmly on Monday, buoyed by central bank policy easing and by hopes that talks could help end Sino-U.S. trade tensions. China's central bank on Friday cut the amount of cash that banks have to hold as reserves for the fifth time in a year, freeing up $116 billion for new lending. Lead can take support near 134 and can face resistance near 138. Nickel can take witness further recovery as it can test 785. Aluminium can take improve further towards 131 levels taking support near 128 levels. 

ENERGY:- Crude oil may trade in green as oil prices rose by more than 1 per cent on Monday, lifted by optimism that talks could soon resolve the trade war between the United States and China, while supply cuts by major producers also supported the market. Financial markets were riding a relief rally on Monday on expectations that face-to-face trade negotiations between delegates from Washington and Beijing, due to start on Monday, would lead to an easing in tensions between the two biggest economies in the world. Crude oil can test 3400 while taking support near 3300. Despite the likelihood of a slowdown, crude future prices were being supported by supply cuts started late last year by a group of producers around the Middle East-dominated Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) as well as non-OPEC Russia. Natural gas may open in red as it can tumble lower towards 200 in MCX. The number of rigs drilling for natural gas in the United States remains unchanged this week at 198, data from oil services firm Baker Hughes showed on Friday. Horizontal rigs -- the type most often used to extract oil.


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